Paul in Mexico; World Series weather in Detroit

The area of disturbed weather near Puerto Rico (90L) has become disorganized, and tropical storm formation is no longer a threat from this system. In the Pacific, Tropical Storm Paul has the potential to be a serious threat to Baja on Monday and mainland Mexico on Tuesday. The 2am EDT run of the GFDL model intensified Paul into a major Category 3 hurricane with 115 mph winds just south of Baja on Monday. While this forecast is probably too aggressive based on the GFDL forecasts I've seen for the other Pacific Mexican hurricanes this season, I do think it is likely Paul will become a hurricane by landfall, and could cause extensive damage if it hits a populated area.

World Series forecast
In another matter of weather concern for the U.S. and Caribbean, tonight's World Series baseball game looks like it will be mostly rain-free. A strong cold front is expected to move in late tonight, bringing heavy rain after 1am to Detroit. Today's game time temperature should be about 48 degrees, and wind will be about 10 mph out of the southwest--blowing from right field towards left field. There are some scattered rain showers that may affect the game today, but I doubt these will be strong enough to cause a rain delay.

Jeff Masters