WunderBlog Archive » Category 6™
Category 6 has moved! See the latest from Dr. Jeff Masters and Bob Henson here.Tropics quieting down
An area of disturbed weather continues over the southwestern Caribbean off of the coast of Nicaragua. Both the intensity and the areal coverage of the thunderstorms in this area have decreased since yesterday, and the amount of rain drenching Central America has lessened. Some observed rain amounts for the 24 hours anding at 7 pm EST Friday:
Puerto Lempira, Honduras 44 mm (1.7")
Puerto Cabezas, Nicaragua 83 mm (3.3")
Puerto Obaldia, Panama 78 mm (3.1")
El Porvenir, Panama 98 mm (3.9")
The disturbed area of weather should persist for at least two more days and continue to bring 1-3 inches of rain per day to these regions. However, tropical storm formation is looking more unlikely, due to higher amounts of wind shear. The GFS model continues to show a steady increase in wind shear over most of the Caribbean Sea during the coming week. It would be foolish to declare that this portends an end to the Hurricane Season of 2005, but odds are growing increasingly long that we'll see another tropical storm.
Jeff Masters
Puerto Lempira, Honduras 44 mm (1.7")
Puerto Cabezas, Nicaragua 83 mm (3.3")
Puerto Obaldia, Panama 78 mm (3.1")
El Porvenir, Panama 98 mm (3.9")
The disturbed area of weather should persist for at least two more days and continue to bring 1-3 inches of rain per day to these regions. However, tropical storm formation is looking more unlikely, due to higher amounts of wind shear. The GFS model continues to show a steady increase in wind shear over most of the Caribbean Sea during the coming week. It would be foolish to declare that this portends an end to the Hurricane Season of 2005, but odds are growing increasingly long that we'll see another tropical storm.
Jeff Masters
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